9 out of 10 times, not likely. Mold comes from moist stagnant dark areas. Now your ductwork is dark, however, it should never be wet or stagnant because air is moving through it regularly. If you were to have water damage due to a flood or furnace malfunction you need to seriously consider replacing some or all of your ductwork. Especially if the water, even fresh water, has been sitting in the duct for more than a few days. Mold can grow quickly and needs to be removed. In addition, the insulation wrapped around your ductwork is soaked and will never dry out properly, so get rid of it. All this said, if your crawl space has flooded or been wet consistently, that can change things as well. First, solve your wet crawl space problem and then consider replacing ductwork.
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